A Contrarian View on Coronavirus Bioterrorism from a Wells Fargo Investment Officer

Mahmoud ElAwadi Senior Vice President - Investment Officer/ PIM Portfolio Manager at Wells Fargo Advisors out of Orlando, Florida 

The video was taken down by YouTube so here is our description. Here are 15 key points he makes. 

Coronavirus Fatality Rates by Country

Thank God The United States Has The Greatest Healthcare System In The World

The estimated case fatality rate of SARS-CoV-2 has increased steadily, reaching 4.07% based on current data, but continues to remain significantly lower than for SARS (10%) or MERS (34%). As the outbreak evolves, the fatality rate is likely to fluctuate.

In mainland China, the highest case fatality rate has been recorded in the city of Wuhan (4.99%). Internationally, some of the countries with the highest fatality rates, based on current data, are Italy (8.30%) and Iran (6.98%).

 Fatality rate is generally higher among older adults, among males, and those with pre-existing conditions (cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and chronic respiratory disease).

Fatality Rates Around The World

Map of Coronavirus Cases in Los Angeles County

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Coronavirus Lockdown Countdown Clock

How many days until April 1st.  Corona Virus Lockdown Countdown Date. 
This was the date that Trump gave on March 31 to potentially re-open the economy.

What Are The Top Google Searches for on Coronavirus

Top Questions on the Coronavirus from Google Searches
Where These Google Searches Coming from according to Google Trends

Map of where the latest-reported Coronavirus COVID-19 cases?

Where are the latest-reported Coronavirus COVID-19 cases?

This map shows the current number of total cases of Coronavirus COVID-19, based on the most up-to-date COVID-19 cases. It covers China (in province level), the US, Canada, Australia (in city level), and the rest of the world (in country level, represented by either the country centroids or their capitals).

 Data sources are WHO, US CDC, China NHC, ECDC, and DXY. The China data is automatically updating at least once per hour, and non China data is updating manually. This layer is created and maintained by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at the Johns Hopkins University. The source feature layer is supported by Esri Living Atlas team and JHU Data Services. This layer is opened to the public and free to share. Contact us.

What is Herd Immunity? Can it Help Fight Coronavirus?

Herd immunity might be the answer to the future.   If you have a new disease, such as COVID-19, that we don’t have a vaccine for and no one in the country has ever been infected with, the disease will spread through the population. But if enough people develop an immune memory, then the disease will stop spreading, even if some of the population is not immune. This is herd immunity, and it is a very effective way to protect the whole of a population against infectious disease. Read more

To reach herd immunity, about 60% of the population would need to get ill and become immune, according to Sir Patrick Vallance, the government’s chief scientific adviser. Though it could need as much as 70% or more. Even scientists who understand the strategy are anxious. “I do worry that making plans that assume such a large proportion of the population will become infected (and hopefully recovered and immune) may not be the very best that we can do,” said Martin Hibberd, professor of emerging infectious disease at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

“Another strategy might be to try to contain [it] longer and perhaps long enough for therapy to emerge that might allow some kind of treatment. This seems to be the strategy of countries such as Singapore. While this containment approach is clearly difficult (and maybe impossible for many countries), it does seem a worthy goal; and those countries that can aim to do.” Read more

In theory, herd immunity means not everyone in a community needs to be immune to prevent the spread of disease. If a high enough proportion of individuals in a population are immune, the majority will protect the few susceptible people because the chain is broken. By breaking the chain of a disease’s transmission, herd immunity protects the most vulnerable among us, including newborns and sick people who can’t receive vaccines. But in order for it to work, a certain percentage of people in a community must be vaccinated. read more

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